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Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints prediction, odds, line, spread: 2024 Week 7 NFL football picks from winning sports betting model

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What ChatGPT says about this game:

For the Denver Broncos vs. New Orleans Saints NFL game on October 17, 2024, the betting trends and team stats suggest a relatively close contest. Here’s a breakdown:

Prediction:

Score Prediction: New Orleans 20, Denver 17

• Both teams are dealing with injuries, especially New Orleans, which will be missing key offensive players like Derek Carr and Chris Olave. Denver has historically performed well against New Orleans, going 9-3 SU in their last 12 matchups. However, with the Saints being at home and having an edge in turnovers, a tight, low-scoring game is likely  .

Betting Strategy:

1. Point Spread:

• Denver has been strong against the spread (ATS) on the road, going 4-1 SU in their last five games against New Orleans in New Orleans  . However, Denver is just 6-14 SU in their last 20 road games. Despite that, New Orleans has struggled both ATS and SU on Thursdays and in recent matchups against Denver . Betting on Denver to cover the spread (+3) seems reasonable.

2. Total (Over/Under):

• Recent trends suggest a low-scoring affair. The total has gone under in 4 of the last 5 matchups between these teams  . Given the injuries to key offensive players and the defensive struggles of both teams, betting on the under (set around 42.5 points) could be a smart play .

Given these factors, a cautious bet on Denver to cover the spread and the game to go under the total points seems like a strong strategy for this matchup.