Florida State vs. Duke prediction, odds, line, spread: NCAA college football picks from winning sports betting model

What ChatGPT says about this game:

For the Florida State vs. Duke game on October 18, 2024, Duke is favored to win by a narrow margin. Most betting models give Duke around a 59% chance of winning, with a predicted score of 23-21 in favor of the Blue Devils. Duke’s defense, especially against the pass, has been strong, ranking among the best in the ACC. Florida State, on the other hand, has struggled offensively this season, ranking last in points and yards per game, which gives Duke a further edge .

In terms of betting strategy, Duke is currently a 3.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 42 points. While Duke has shown defensive vulnerabilities against the run, Florida State’s weak offensive production makes it unlikely they’ll fully exploit this. Betting on Duke to cover the spread could be a solid option, as they are playing at home and have been more consistent this season. Additionally, taking the over on the 42-point line might be a good move, as recent trends suggest both teams have been involved in slightly higher-scoring games .

If you’re looking for a slightly riskier bet, you could consider Florida State covering the spread as an underdog (+3.5), given Duke’s tendency to allow teams to hang around in close games.

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