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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Chicago Bears prediction, odds, line, spread: 2024 NFL football picks from winning AI sports betting model

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What ChatGPT says about this game:

Game Overview:

• The Jaguars (1-4) have been struggling, especially on defense, ranking 31st in the league and allowing 413 yards per game. Their pass defense is particularly weak, allowing the most passing yards per game (304). However, their offense has shown promise, especially on the ground, averaging 5.81 yards per carry, which is the second-best in the league.

• The Bears (3-2), on the other hand, have been performing well overall. However, their rushing offense is one of the worst in the league, and they haven’t been efficient in the passing game either. Despite these struggles, their defense has been solid, particularly against tight ends and in limiting opposing quarterbacks.

Betting Strategy:

Moneyline: The Bears are slight favorites. Betting on the Bears to win might be a safer bet, especially considering Jacksonville’s defensive issues. Chicago has a 55% implied win probability, but some models suggest a tighter game, with Jacksonville having a real chance for an upset  .

Point Spread: The spread is set at around 1-1.5 points. If you’re looking for value, taking the Bears with a slight edge might be worthwhile. Alternatively, taking Jacksonville to cover a small spread could also be attractive if you believe their offense can exploit Chicago’s weaknesses.

Total Points (Over/Under 44.5-45): Given Jacksonville’s weak defense and Chicago’s average offense, the game could go under the total points line. A lower-scoring game is expected, especially if Chicago struggles to move the ball  .

Score Prediction:

• A predicted final score could be Bears 23, Jaguars 14